South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a56949dc7089d1bcca4e28efd6a9b02d2d5875f5d9ddecc5263e4fedb4016fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 1,714$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 783$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 28c | 714.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 72c | 657.74$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 560.72$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 73c | 486$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 468.26$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 319.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 26c | 266.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 239.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 210.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 25c | 195.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 186.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 162.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 161.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 139$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 28c | 132.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 129.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 111.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 29c | 97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 93.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 76c | 76.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 27c | 71.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 68.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 78c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 46.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 29c | 44.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 37.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 32.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 73c | 31.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 74c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.