South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69fa03297a3ab4219883cc120d8ecc3444eecd073451dac32dcc5452505d4116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,208 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 67c | 30,430$20,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,388.26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 33c | 27,207$8,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,228.57 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…8d6cbacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 5,574$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 3,764$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.59 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 2,095$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 1,436$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.12 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.13 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 792.21$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 70c | 574.32$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.02 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 36c | 546.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 361.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 70c | 309.09$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 67c | 286.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…0df6backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 69c | 256.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 31c | 246.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 50c | 235.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 233$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 211.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 30c | 196.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 188.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 33c | 178.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 149.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 31c | 139.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 36c | 136.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 36c | 126.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 30c | 119.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 112.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 92.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 38c | 84.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 81.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 80.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 57.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 55.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…8116backed No | 70c | 51.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 42.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 33c | 40.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-19?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.