La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8207f43e71f4c63d06fad5f7183cddd8fa7b97c39f7de1f6b6d5571bab944bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 9,635$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 0c | 5,985$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 2,073$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.81 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…817dbacked Yes | 8c | 569.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yes | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 28c | 375$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 322.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 7c | 168.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 16c | 91.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 88.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes | 28c | 85.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 28c | 54.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 28c | 54.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 29c | 53.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 29c | 50.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 50.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 22c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d4…8717backed Yes | 28c | 46.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…a09abacked Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 78c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed No | 71c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 73c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-03-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.