Euroleague · resolved market
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Fujian Sturgeons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0dfb82e75813359a88e3948054c3fe3fe6e104d158baddce7b58cf0f3db1af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fujian Sturgeonsof Nanjing Monkey King, Fujian Sturgeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,534 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fujian Sturgeons | 61c | 1,901$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.5 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 54c | 1,082$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +77%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fujian Sturgeons | 45c | 680.21$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.9 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 27c | 573.63$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nanjing Monkey King | 54c | 567.42$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.83 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Nanjing Monkey King | 72c | 548.7$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fujian Sturgeons | 50c | 524.82$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.76 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Nanjing Monkey King | 53c | 508.28$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nanjing Monkey King | 71c | 455.11$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Fujian Sturgeons | 44c | 399.51$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 42c | 364.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 56c | 359.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fujian Sturgeons | 59c | 358.3$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Fujian Sturgeons | 31c | 323.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 55c | 308.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Nanjing Monkey King | 38c | 293.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Fujian Sturgeons | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fujian Sturgeons | 49c | 248.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nanjing Monkey King | 12c | 242.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 53c | 210.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Fujian Sturgeons | 28c | 188$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Nanjing Monkey King | 52c | 173.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Fujian Sturgeons | 28c | 166$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Fujian Sturgeons | 31c | 162$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nanjing Monkey King | 61c | 159.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 72c | 152.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…3b8bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 44c | 147.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nanjing Monkey King | 57c | 137.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Nanjing Monkey King | 54c | 137.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Nanjing Monkey King | 63c | 136$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nanjing Monkey King | 72c | 127$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…7df7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 39c | 124.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Fujian Sturgeons | 28c | 108.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Nanjing Monkey King | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Nanjing Monkey King | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nanjing Monkey King | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fujian Sturgeons | 29c | 97.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nanjing Monkey King | 63c | 89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nanjing Monkey King | 26c | 85.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 63c | 83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…5546backed Fujian Sturgeons | 48c | 70.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Nanjing Monkey King | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 59c | 68.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Fujian Sturgeons | 35c | 63.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nanjing Monkey King | 56c | 60.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 48c | 58.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…6680backed Fujian Sturgeons | 49c | 56.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Nanjing Monkey King | 55c | 54.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fujian Sturgeons | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Nanjing Monkey King | 46c | 45.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Fujian Sturgeons | 28c | 40.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Nanjing Monkey King | 70c | 36.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…b7f8backed Fujian Sturgeons | 47c | 34.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Nanjing Monkey King | 62c | 33.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nanjing Monkey King | 69c | 32.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Fujian Sturgeons | 50c | 32.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Nanjing Monkey King | 32c | 31.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…7be6backed Fujian Sturgeons | 50c | 29.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Fujian Sturgeons | 48c | 29.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Nanjing Monkey King | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 55c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…f954backed Nanjing Monkey King | 64c | 20.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Nanjing Monkey King | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.