Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96b06a96a56cc877049ea991cdf589749ba161b2ba04ac8274f29b936ba6e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 4,347$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.62 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 3,930$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.96 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 56c | 3,117$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.16 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 1,258$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 946.08$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed Over | 39c | 767.21$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 68c | 674.15$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.73 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 32c | 420.24$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 68c | 388.92$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 318.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 71c | 239.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 60c | 237.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 203$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 34c | 198$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 33c | 152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 59c | 88.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 33c | 59.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 56.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 36c | 44.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 34c | 44.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Under | 70c | 41.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 36c | 36.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.