Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f8d09a9355a2998d4b5bd2319c8cef45cdb5936c1c335f76a41462f661d7bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 9,486$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 58c | 8,630$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.58 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 65c | 3,355$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.29 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,154$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.52 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 1,988$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.06 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 1,721$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.84 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 1,210$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.33 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 986.6$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.6 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 64c | 961.53$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.34 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 21c | 893.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 23c | 869.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 71c | 840.43$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 589.01$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 458.3$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Under | 52c | 384.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 75c | 291.1$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 53c | 185.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 23c | 174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 135.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…7380backed Under | 54c | 119.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 62c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 57c | 89.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 82.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 76c | 60.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Under | 68c | 57.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 40c | 57.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 41c | 54.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Under | 55c | 53.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 73c | 51.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 38c | 45.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…316cbacked Under | 34c | 42.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed Under | 33c | 39.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 73c | 39.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 74c | 39.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 72c | 37.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 40c | 34.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 44c | 34.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 67c | 34.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 49c | 32.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 38c | 29.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 71c | 25.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 79c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 67c | 18.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.