Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0a65a196c5efad06f4fd9c9537c9e0c42121143372351476e84c69757d72079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 67c | 2,976$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.59 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 1,992$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.13 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 41c | 1,833$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.41 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 18c | 1,645$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 53c | 1,343$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 14c | 1,062$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 881.7$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.52 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed Over | 61c | 792$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 713.71$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.42 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 655.71$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 654.3$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 32c | 590$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.69 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked Over | 35c | 430$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 405.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 378.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 59c | 364.62$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.51 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…160cbacked Over | 57c | 330$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 52c | 300.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 49c | 266.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 59c | 251.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Under | 40c | 245.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…9aaabacked Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…8970backed Over | 55c | 184$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 48c | 163.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 66c | 151.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 42c | 149.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 54c | 135.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 60c | 128.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 114.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 102.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…7380backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 99.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 98.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 33c | 91.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Over | 56c | 56.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 40c | 37.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 58c | 34.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…9fdebacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 47c | 26.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…d087backed Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 22.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.