NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee16b14eb3166a5d543022b0c4ccfa4f731f8b23168a3bf53737c96b7e2c54e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Wild | 21c | 5,101$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.62 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Wild | 17c | 5,014$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.17 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wild | 24c | 4,499$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.6 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Avalanche | 77c | 4,110$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.25 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Avalanche | 79c | 3,808$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wild | 32c | 3,222$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.01 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…4f5ebacked Avalanche | 68c | 3,200$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wild | 10c | 2,501$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.15 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Avalanche | 69c | 2,419$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.31 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Avalanche | 79c | 2,180$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Avalanche | 76c | 2,124$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.56 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wild | 30c | 2,108$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.23 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Avalanche | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Avalanche | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 31c | 1,098$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.35 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Avalanche | 77c | 1,078$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,027$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Wild | 23c | 530.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…acddbacked Wild | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Wild | 29c | 446.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Avalanche | 77c | 433.51$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Wild | 9c | 429.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 31c | 407.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Wild | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1125…ffdfbacked Avalanche | 80c | 368.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 9c | 333.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…8c0bbacked Avalanche | 79c | 333.16$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Avalanche | 79c | 320$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Avalanche | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Wild | 21c | 275.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Avalanche | 79c | 250.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Wild | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Wild | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Wild | 23c | 194.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…919dbacked Wild | 16c | 181.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Wild | 22c | 161.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Wild | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…2f3dbacked Wild | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Avalanche | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf250…40a8backed Wild | 15c | 135.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Avalanche | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Avalanche | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Avalanche | 71c | 100.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Avalanche | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…1d19backed Wild | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…d090backed Wild | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Avalanche | 68c | 88.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Avalanche | 69c | 85.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…9b34backed Wild | 18c | 81.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Wild | 14c | 80.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…ddecbacked Avalanche | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Avalanche | 79c | 79.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Wild | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Wild | 25c | 64.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Avalanche | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Avalanche | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Wild | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…4a6bbacked Wild | 30c | 39.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Wild | 34c | 35.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Avalanche | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…cdf1backed Avalanche | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Avalanche | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Avalanche | 79c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.