TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes43c29,265$12,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,783.975543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No47c10,009$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,660.952,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c4,394$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.145,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes40c3,726$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.513852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.94151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c2,840$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.692,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes45c2,110$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.721060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c1,600$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91211952.9%63 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c1,502$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.261,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c1,407$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.0685250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6847552%39 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes45c1,137$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.872,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015361.4%94 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c990$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.32,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c988.93$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.1638358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No55c951.26$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.1916953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No58c862.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No53c860$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.810057%57 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4248160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No57c780.52$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.9823546.8%110 W · 125 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No58c689.65$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes45c615.55$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5526549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34211254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes45c535.04$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1494043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No57c525.02$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.267346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27510248%49 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2908845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c456.58$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.31,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No57c397.48$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1330646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No9c352.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2892043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes41c304.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.456845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c302.37$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.461,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17114050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1719457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.86651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.87152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No57c232$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.241,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2213251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010252%53 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1148554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No55c195.85$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.727162%44 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No52c183.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.731,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.29761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.68258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.810458.7%61 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.89256.5%52 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c133.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.842,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes41c129.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.155453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.29258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.67659.2%45 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No55c119.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a7…40f7backed No55c109.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c104.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.961,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c101.65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.387,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010345.6%47 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes45c95.91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7517149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No57c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.453333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.66750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes72c74.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7667348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes46c73.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4691148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes71c69.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.011353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a35…a72fbacked No57c61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.653655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No57c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.977657.9%44 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No54c55.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2310543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes42c53.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.183743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked No56c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes44c45.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0958320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed No57c41.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.762272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Yes46c34.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.784753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes46c34.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.726752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked No52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No56c31.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2733853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3998653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes46c28.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2629244.9%131 W · 161 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No57c27.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.422744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc09…fc5bbacked Yes47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.922944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No58c18.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.616361.9%39 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes70c14.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.291560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.