Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b8baf6de7cc2563821710074ae30f5c0b66bc0ae376197a6e471837578fa857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 41c | 103,694$42,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,179.55 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 59c | 63,080$37,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,217.28 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 57c | 15,000$8,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,570 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 67c | 13,785$9,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.14 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 8,317$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.72 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 41c | 7,285$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 59c | 6,744$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.97 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 5,373$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 35c | 4,131$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.85 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 41c | 3,959$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.02 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 17c | 3,518$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.09 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 2,901$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.34 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 2,565$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.22 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 2,529$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.07 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes | 42c | 2,410$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 59c | 2,400$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 66c | 1,900$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.44 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 59c | 1,836$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.24 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 58c | 1,710$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 59c | 1,351$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.14 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed No | 57c | 1,136$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,101$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 993.28$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.23 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 931.57$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.48 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 890$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 36c | 828.71$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.59 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 64c | 776.94$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 62c | 535.55$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 57c | 531.68$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.06 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 40c | 500.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 66c | 498.97$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 40c | 490.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.03 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked No | 37c | 476.23$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 58c | 460$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 28c | 451.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 429.25$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 76c | 410.72$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed No | 38c | 388.88$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 71c | 377.3$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 350.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 57c | 343$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.73 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 72c | 324.69$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 30c | 323.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 320.62$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed Yes | 63c | 315.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 59c | 297.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 72c | 296.29$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 38c | 281.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 59c | 260$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 59c | 260$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 253.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 211$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 75c | 207.72$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 58c | 200.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 36c | 199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 32c | 183.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 45c | 179.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 66c | 165.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…f4cfbacked Yes | 62c | 159.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…aabbbacked Yes | 63c | 158.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 59c | 156$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 59c | 156$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 151$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 59c | 143.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 41c | 143.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 58c | 134.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 56c | 131.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 60c | 130.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 123.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…d590backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…3a0cbacked No | 43c | 114.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 63c | 112.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 41c | 109.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 78c | 108.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.