TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No67c54,172$36,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,876.8415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes10c17,889$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.749239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c16,105$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800.1477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes33c12,600$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,095.0853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c11,069$7,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.71,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes31c6,419$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.081,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c4,749$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.913,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c4,035$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.1998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes13c4,001$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.166939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.0426345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No68c3,335$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.713553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No68c3,097$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.032540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes17c2,647$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No68c2,564$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.5610273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes33c2,272$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.7613347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes13c1,923$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes33c1,262$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes7c978.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6447240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No68c969.24$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1618655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes11c818.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c801.93$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No68c693.28$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.696851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c644.96$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes33c510.82$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.577037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes8c503.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.937726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf767…05f2backed Yes33c424.26$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No68c411.88$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.88563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes33c337$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes33c305$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6514129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes33c304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.322142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.516100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes32c240$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes33c212.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9510655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5451…1acbbacked Yes33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No68c210.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes19c196.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0735247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes33c184.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes30c184$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2745140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No70c168$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7312667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes34c145.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No80c141.12$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes26c124.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.426050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes34c111.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6326150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes33c105.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.048257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes33c103.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes11c102.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No66c99.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9810757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes28c87.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.141,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes33c81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.731,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes32c79.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Yes33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.513259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes32c71.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No68c71.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.848868.2%60 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No67c61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.138760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No67c60.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8918651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c60.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…f14dbacked Yes33c57.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Yes33c54.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1635149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed No69c48.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.011752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes34c43.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.723023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No72c40.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c39.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5853046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed No69c36.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes33c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.557953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No68c34.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.017456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5239…e4c8backed Yes33c34.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No72c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.416853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed No68c26.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3e…7cd1backed No69c24.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked No68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked No68c21.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked No69c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No68c17.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.