La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a382a699b60a50da4894bad8d33b158ef6aee92b555be74da261325ed5f6b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 43c | 1,164$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 44c | 1,140$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 854.72$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 57c | 808.51$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.66 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 57c | 498.33$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 57c | 483.53$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 474.03$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 43c | 434.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 56c | 423.75$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 57c | 353.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 218.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 42c | 210.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 168.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes | 43c | 152.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 133.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 43c | 115.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…1de8backed Yes | 43c | 112.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 47c | 107.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 105.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 91.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…06a5backed No | 77c | 62.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…8bb3backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 43c | 46.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed Yes | 36c | 42.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 57c | 42.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 32c | 36.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…9b70backed Yes | 42c | 36.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…22a9backed Yes | 43c | 35.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…d636backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 58c | 31.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…2278backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona leading at halftime?No won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.