NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadad9c25ba44ef4eb260c52f8d89270db371af32c3e2882343bdce189dadcd58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canesof Canes, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Canes | 78c | 46,866$36,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105.32 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 21c | 39,634$8,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,450.62 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Canes | 80c | 23,768$18,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 23c | 13,502$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.45 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Canes | 77c | 10,174$7,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Flyers | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Flyers | 24c | 7,525$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.75 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Flyers | 18c | 7,400$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flyers | 25c | 5,796$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Flyers | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flyers | 22c | 3,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Flyers | 18c | 2,760$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Flyers | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Canes | 77c | 2,233$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.15 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flyers | 27c | 1,491$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Flyers | 22c | 1,468$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.98 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canes | 77c | 1,400$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Flyers | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canes | 75c | 1,192$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flyers | 23c | 1,052$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Canes | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canes | 76c | 698.27$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.04 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Flyers | 2c | 685$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…03c6backed Canes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Flyers | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Flyers | 24c | 516.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…adbebacked Flyers | 13c | 405.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Flyers | 13c | 402.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Flyers | 12c | 373.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8f…e61abacked Canes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…ddecbacked Flyers | 19c | 310$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…0e17backed Flyers | 5c | 298.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Canes | 76c | 295.07$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Flyers | 12c | 288$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…21babacked Flyers | 13c | 283.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Flyers | 11c | 247.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Flyers | 26c | 222.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…70a3backed Canes | 78c | 190.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Canes | 79c | 190$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Flyers | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Canes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…2aa6backed Flyers | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…51d2backed Flyers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Flyers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Flyers | 19c | 77.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9245…3bbfbacked Flyers | 24c | 68.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Flyers | 16c | 66.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Flyers | 29c | 65.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…e965backed Canes | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Canes | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19d…da02backed Flyers | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8360…50a4backed Canes | 77c | 33.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…e85fbacked Canes | 77c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…ccdebacked Canes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.