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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No76c7,459$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.225,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Yes42c3,722$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5501947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No61c3,448$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.573372.7%24 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes71c2,535$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.267437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes64c2,002$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.1610657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78011245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c1,972$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.828,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed No60c1,851$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.5629446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes71c1,583$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.671,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes40c1,450$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes41c1,231$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012254.9%67 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c1,217$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.142,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4295164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes41c1,059$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No59c881.07$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.9927449.3%135 W · 139 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes16c822.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6510647.2%50 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No50c643.94$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed No24c607.58$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.099652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…ab1bbacked Yes72c598.86$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No60c556.86$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4842250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20027648.9%135 W · 141 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No63c477.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No22c380.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5413828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404816.7%8 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked No22c341.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+127.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No60c333.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331,48937.4%557 W · 932 L+5.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes9c298.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8426745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c274.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.893,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No28c267.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.941,33956.9%762 W · 577 L+55.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes77c263.53$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.921,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes41c244.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078351%399 W · 384 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Yes41c238.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No59c236.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6781356.5%459 W · 354 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes40c228.71$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.084242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes40c220.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.252,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…b4babacked No20c215.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No60c209$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.621349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c202.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.921,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes70c198.59$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes39c197$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.832,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Yes66c187.76$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.922356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c179.9$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.161,30853.7%702 W · 606 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Yes40c176.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9316262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No59c162.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No60c130.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.116656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No57c127.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.274362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec7…c8b6backed Yes79c126.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aba…debfbacked Yes40c126.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.451553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No58c125.29$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8913248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No59c119.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.196144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No68c117.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.829256.5%52 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Yes44c114.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503060%18 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No58c113.19$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5422757.3%130 W · 97 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes44c112.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-85.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c112.26$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.211,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No40c110.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.114969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No22c109.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0931130.9%96 W · 215 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No61c99.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes44c93.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No48c83.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes57c82.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5945046.2%208 W · 242 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c81.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.491,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed No33c77.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.822669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed No37c74.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.913444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No36c74.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.744843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No59c67.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8550746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9300…d0f0backed No23c60.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes41c51.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked No25c51.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+102.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes42c50.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No59c50.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.768153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde78…1cf6backed Yes40c48.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.399340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…4a78backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25d4…26fdbacked No23c46.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.57333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Yes74c46.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed No33c45.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.542512%3 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-64.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes73c45.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0493445.1%421 W · 513 L-28.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes36c44.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No36c43.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.729848%143 W · 155 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fb…67b9backed No30c42.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked No60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.675966.1%39 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No35c40.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1919050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes80c39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.027748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Yes68c38.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.353164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.