South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a3edfc0875f4fd51d51c2afaf7f6499178b9d175cddc7f007edb8d8657a49b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 32c | 2,014$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 72c | 2,011$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.92 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 1,905$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 1,420$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.12 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 907.22$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.67 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 802.53$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.72 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 32c | 630.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 16c | 609.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.61 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 588.32$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 514.94$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…0f2dbacked Yes | 18c | 500$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +108%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 18c | 474.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 319.42$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.89 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 15c | 316.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked Yes | 18c | 281.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +266.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 31c | 252.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 28c | 246.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 40c | 235.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 217.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 147.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes | 28c | 140.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 139.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 128.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 119$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 113.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 109.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 17c | 89.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed Yes | 18c | 83.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 15c | 70.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 62c | 67.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 69c | 55.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Yes | 31c | 54.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 31c | 53.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 72c | 38.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 75c | 34.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 49c | 24.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.