Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd429a82be8d3ef99b2ef8504d21b7ff75b2971ffe0b1d061339ee41725d8c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.91 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,700$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.74 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 9c | 1,156$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 74c | 943.83$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.16 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 57c | 874.37$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.39 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 744.58$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 70c | 728.04$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 57c | 563.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.44 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 555$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 536.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 526.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 55c | 380.19$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 11c | 335.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 57c | 260$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 57c | 260$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 44c | 181.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed No | 11c | 175.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 57c | 156$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 57c | 156$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 58c | 140.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 61c | 98.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 57c | 95.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 92.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 57c | 89.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 12c | 87.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 57c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 52c | 71.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 66.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 32c | 65.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 58c | 64.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 50.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 31c | 38.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 48c | 37.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 72c | 35.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 56c | 35.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 54c | 32.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 80c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 58c | 19.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 58c | 17.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.