Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x331802549429282895da95e7ab074a4b13022a50fba5fd7429638b7fbed73d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 31c | 1,932$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 80c | 1,782$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 1,028$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 30c | 550.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 350.08$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 31c | 327.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 299.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 72c | 240.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 132.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 29c | 121.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed No | 71c | 115.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 31c | 102.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 97.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 97.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 91.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 83.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 70.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 67.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 58.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.