Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf46da6f30ef6e8cbb35f96f890bb1a0b6dc7499e38e4d94b3ca41e11d93f1411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,397$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 29c | 1,389$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.95 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 634.08$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 605.47$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 449.99$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 75c | 352.69$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 337$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 28c | 216.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Yes | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 168.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…227dbacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 126.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 72c | 95.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 17c | 92.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 72c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed No | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 71c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 72c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.