TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes42c36,584$15,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,365.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c12,114$7,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.6297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No58c9,452$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,969.8319560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c3,549$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.761,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No32c2,500$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.8414761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No76c2,206$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No61c2,156$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.652065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes32c2,123$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.097726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c1,847$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.3553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No58c1,740$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.4198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No58c1,702$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.8953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c1,645$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.783,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes43c1,492$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.176732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No58c1,440$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.26851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c1,388$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.271,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes41c1,237$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.913518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No67c1,181$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.5327058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Yes70c1,144$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes76c1,062$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.1815676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No58c997.86$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.14141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No58c862.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0710450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes43c849$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.071338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes70c823.62$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8512343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes44c796.99$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No59c740.32$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6615748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No58c689.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6512146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c672.34$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.1117258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes33c561.38$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes30c532.66$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4216657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Yes39c488.3$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.55425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c450$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes44c436.31$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No77c391$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No77c388.89$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.062860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes68c334.64$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No65c308.92$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No59c308$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3928851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes73c300$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12915858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes43c292.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.765326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No64c264.14$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6410960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No57c246.32$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.239234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes49c244$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6519960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes41c238.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes57c237$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9920660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No58c232.12$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2325934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No12c231.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2410045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes15c216.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1325851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes36c214.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8310644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes67c182.32$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.153479.4%27 W · 7 L+9.3wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+81.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No58c176.02$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.933452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes58c172.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7415458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a8…1932backed Yes26c163.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes62c161.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0113046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No61c159.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.149858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes74c158.36$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.941872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+156.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6316960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No58c146.53$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes39c146$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.731216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c140.26$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa205…d809backed Yes42c137.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Yes73c136.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.421361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No59c131.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.889268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes22c131.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4320849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No58c120.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.95552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes39c111.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.779555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc117…6ddabacked Yes38c109.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c104.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+52.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked No58c99.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Yes31c98.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes31c94.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.249239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes41c90.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1418651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.381,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes42c85.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes61c82.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1316856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdd…a775backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No64c78.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.568934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No64c78.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.462470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No62c75.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.593171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes40c75.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes21c74.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6330957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No58c71.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes40c71.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5724920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Yes44c70.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.023138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No58c65.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.461478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.88760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No58c57.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.216553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes21c56.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No58c56.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7720249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes78c56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.79965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes42c55.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.367140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1637249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Yes39c49.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.423036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.