Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a0637bb1c041a05e28878f02ef66fed509ffb4264cac38c5e2a0458a9603376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,414$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.07 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 74c | 1,294$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 26c | 1,022$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 26c | 830.93$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 531.46$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 531.45$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 63c | 447$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 391.77$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 27c | 342$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 67c | 321.72$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 298.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 58c | 288.25$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 251$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 74c | 246.51$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 235.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 74c | 218.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 14c | 205$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 66c | 197.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 25c | 192.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 181.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 75c | 150.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 59c | 128$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 63c | 114.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 39c | 113.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 107$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 106.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 27c | 106.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 18c | 103.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 47c | 103.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 95.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 32c | 84.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 29c | 79.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 54c | 74.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 66.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 35c | 65.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…78febacked Yes | 27c | 60.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 58.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 47c | 54.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Yes | 40c | 49.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed Yes | 59c | 43.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Yes | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 71c | 40.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 48c | 40.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 37c | 37.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked No | 80c | 37.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 57c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Yes | 38c | 32.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 51c | 31.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 30.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 26.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 53c | 24.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 74c | 23.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 57c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.