TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes21c3,481$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.247726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No78c2,469$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.3314761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes24c1,873$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.771872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+156.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked No1c1,854$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.544050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes52c1,522$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.3948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes33c766.67$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.674325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No38c725.07$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.885326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No67c674.01$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.61,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No57c527.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No76c503.49$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7912343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes29c488.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No71c474.47$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2210960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c450$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c412.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No74c394$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.563253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes78c351.67$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c322.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No78c310.98$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5616657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No71c281.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2225851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes43c242.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6710644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes33c232.44$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7718651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked No75c228$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No67c228$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6211055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes41c227$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9422269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes68c207.63$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4413952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes33c188.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No66c162.86$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.499858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c155.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.813,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No79c150$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.84020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes32c149.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0135247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes35c144.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.134528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes16c131.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3639234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No74c130.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No73c121.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5419052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.426050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No64c118.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes61c117.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No35c111.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1641339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c102.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c100.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes31c95.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.774639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No71c93.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.985552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes32c92.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.849555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes59c87.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.132737%10 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Yes33c81.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.821450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.765846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No40c72.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0612346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.77140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No67c67.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed No75c66.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No75c66.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502572%18 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No75c66.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No75c66.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked No75c66.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes26c62.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.224920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd92e…fcbdbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No66c60.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6726150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked No68c58.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No69c57.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8480249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f4…1008backed Yes35c55.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+110.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes47c53.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6920849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed No75c50.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x836f…e56cbacked Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.394032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No69c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No66c44.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.853857.9%22 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes34c44.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.463259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3416159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No78c42.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3425934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes24c42.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.531050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+95.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68ee…f785backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ff…6465backed No79c39.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.59875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c37.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d8…7520backed No72c34.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No76c32.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.998934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No68c29.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8110957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No39c26.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2512247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes63c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.889965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No74c22.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.032060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c22.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.671,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes48c21.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2836051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No52c21.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15303.3%1 W · 29 L-12.3wins-0.41per pick44cpaid-94.4%equal weight25-0.22 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes75c18.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.662166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc82…3918backed No69c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b2…e75fbacked No76c15.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed Yes77c14.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.223259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.