Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1c5f6a2990e4eb515c75421448238971e11c823ffb49f2adea53eaad79a8ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kashima Antlersof Kashima Antlers, JEF United Ichihara Chiba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 2,202$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Kashima Antlers | 21c | 1,260$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kashima Antlers | 34c | 1,197$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.65 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kashima Antlers | 39c | 1,125$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.28 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Kashima Antlers | 31c | 1,040$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.8 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Kashima Antlers | 33c | 696.66$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Kashima Antlers | 46c | 617.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 445.9$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Kashima Antlers | 34c | 355.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 67c | 312.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Kashima Antlers | 32c | 299.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kashima Antlers | 53c | 284.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 66c | 281.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 66c | 276.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Kashima Antlers | 34c | 249.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Kashima Antlers | 32c | 235.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Kashima Antlers | 29c | 181.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 72c | 139.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 69c | 134.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 69c | 112.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kashima Antlers | 28c | 112.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Kashima Antlers | 32c | 104.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kashima Antlers | 22c | 104.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 78c | 104.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 69c | 102.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…f37dbacked Kashima Antlers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Kashima Antlers | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Kashima Antlers | 31c | 95.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 92.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 66c | 91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 71c | 64.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Kashima Antlers | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 76c | 57.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 53c | 56.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kashima Antlers | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Kashima Antlers | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 41.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Kashima Antlers | 42c | 36.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 70c | 35.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…b5e3backed Kashima Antlers | 34c | 34.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kashima Antlers | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kashima Antlers | 42c | 29.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 66c | 18.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)this page
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.