Asian League · resolved market
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa65b2c9edd3ca3e11aa8f5e60bf6b04dc73e91cbfb809dd75997e3c97103f152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6190…5d90backed No | 58c | 1,496$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 8c | 900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 14c | 480.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 365.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 41c | 317.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 311.66$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 33c | 298.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 48c | 206.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 179.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 38c | 176.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 114.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 98.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 59c | 35.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.