Asian League · resolved market
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7bf278b0970e6e55f0fcb4672b0500a0512c1a7ca53658b0c0f7c727135d992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,037$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…5127backed Over | 48c | 481.94$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 434.64$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.38 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 38c | 397.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 56c | 309.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 49c | 306.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 246.86$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 44c | 221.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 72c | 207.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 47c | 206.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 63c | 147.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 38c | 132.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 121.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 28c | 88.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 41c | 86.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 79.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 69c | 59.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 34c | 56.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Over | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 71c | 25.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Under | 56c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 45c | 22.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 72c | 20.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…42c0backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 71c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5this page
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.