Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7319259da8cf5055776db5df89202814cde7710d46e8b35a2f61a0af3fa25c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Guoan FCof Beijing Guoan FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Guoan FC | 7c | 3,098$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Guoan FC | 27c | 3,038$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 63c | 1,230$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.78 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Beijing Guoan FC | 25c | 1,216$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.83 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 60c | 478.2$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 39c | 398.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 11c | 365.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Beijing Guoan FC | 43c | 346.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 66c | 332$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.66 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Beijing Guoan FC | 42c | 299.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…61cdbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 42c | 238.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 57c | 198$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Beijing Guoan FC | 40c | 196.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 57c | 166.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 73c | 156.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 35c | 109.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Beijing Guoan FC | 41c | 109.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 95.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Beijing Guoan FC | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 59c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 58c | 67.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Beijing Guoan FC | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Beijing Guoan FC | 37c | 57.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…cc4bbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 59c | 40.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Beijing Guoan FC | 43c | 29.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.