Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a2f0efd684af9051d535ebfb688b7037a3996508900509e3edc8d229d702d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 49c | 5,059$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 4,213$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 3,750$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 27c | 753.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.59 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 40c | 596.5$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 535.09$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 456.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Under | 13c | 384.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 360.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 41c | 281.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 56c | 206.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 145.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 137.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 61c | 109.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 61c | 93.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 60c | 90.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 90.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 46c | 64.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 53c | 60.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 63c | 55.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 60c | 50.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 51c | 39.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 61c | 34.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 33.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 33.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 53c | 30.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 52c | 27.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 59c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…6751backed Over | 45c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 56c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Over | 52c | 19.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 72c | 15.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.