South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3631eadb5ca4fd944f3b61dbc9c21046d59ea275928dc16811682d648e33064a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CR Vasco da Gamaof CR Flamengo, CR Vasco da Gama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CR Flamengo | 39c | 29,800$11,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620.93 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 12,130$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.7 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed CR Flamengo | 21c | 6,383$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.04 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CR Vasco da Gama | 80c | 3,863$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 1,750$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CR Vasco da Gama | 80c | 1,357$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 764.13$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.63 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 78c | 385.42$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 292$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed CR Flamengo | 38c | 261.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 219.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 59c | 214.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 187.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 159.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 59c | 158.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CR Vasco da Gama | 51c | 153.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 147$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed CR Vasco da Gama | 60c | 103.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed CR Flamengo | 18c | 85.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed CR Flamengo | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed CR Flamengo | 79c | 75.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed CR Flamengo | 45c | 63.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CR Vasco da Gama | 46c | 59.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…30a6backed CR Flamengo | 22c | 55.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CR Flamengo | 40c | 55.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed CR Vasco da Gama | 64c | 50.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…f863backed CR Flamengo | 36c | 48.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 74c | 45.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CR Vasco da Gama | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ad77backed CR Flamengo | 46c | 41.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed CR Vasco da Gama | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed CR Flamengo | 51c | 37.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CR Flamengo | 75c | 36.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked CR Flamengo | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed CR Vasco da Gama | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ef5cbacked CR Flamengo | 39c | 32.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 54c | 32.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CR Vasco da Gama | 56c | 31.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed CR Vasco da Gama | 66c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 62c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 64c | 25.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked CR Flamengo | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 65c | 19.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 59c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 59c | 17.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 75c | 13.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.