South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b99b944005a7a1a47d471f864d96d6e191a980bc5b2fa0babcdcc34419fe81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 3,236$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 1,048$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.59 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,022$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.29 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 49c | 965.64$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 599.09$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 258.16$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 48c | 242.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 159.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 158.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 114.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed No | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 53c | 94.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 31c | 66.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 65.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 48c | 57.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 51c | 55.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 52c | 32.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 52c | 25.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.