TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over51c24,814$12,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,043.4329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c7,713$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,755.473,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c7,640$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,831.675,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c6,109$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.318,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over43c5,990$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.3830841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c2,336$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.2865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over54c1,505$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.2899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under47c1,443$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.2616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over49c1,321$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.4231349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c1,065$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.921,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c1,064$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.7242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6715945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9320059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c800$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over54c759.81$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.369349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c658.89$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.521,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c653.01$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.831,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under47c649.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c515.06$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.852,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over48c449.07$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under40c374.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.989727.8%27 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over51c356.09$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.288887.5%77 W · 11 L+19.9wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+42%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c348.09$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.731,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Under48c322.49$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under59c227.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over60c213.71$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.714647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under48c208.01$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.834362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c203.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.552,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9819659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c188.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9631745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Over54c166.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under10c159.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43112.9%4 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Over46c159.32$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.117061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over47c158.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.372560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under48c144.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Under48c130.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.771030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c126.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.152,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under42c123.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6453836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over52c122$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.569447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over47c117.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.457055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Over48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+86.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under44c108.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.821,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Under48c102.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.881957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over47c100.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4983642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.578856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504658.7%27 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over56c97.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Under55c90.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504740.4%19 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under46c88.28$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.611942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under50c74.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.133458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over44c73.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.278133.3%27 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over40c71.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.684047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over58c65.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.682962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.917143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c62.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2414844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6722853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over53c58.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.576656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under50c57.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8441145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.544939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1624253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under49c40.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over54c39.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.085957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c38.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0945253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under40c36.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1720958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5325…c31dbacked Over47c31.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.255056%28 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under48c30.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5410652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.730858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under48c29.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.146451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854850%24 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under53c25.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.819264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under55c25.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0233365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over58c25.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6610741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Over54c25.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.591963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Under52c25.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.213234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8453…76bfbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Over56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed Under49c21.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Over47c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.494271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under48c21.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3711858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over52c20.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8451749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under58c20.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6334155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b8…6253backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under61c16.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2410564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.