TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lynn Visionof Lynn Vision, THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3da8…80c3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER14c6,963$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c5,702$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.4221945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER21c3,300$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.281,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c2,050$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.645532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER23c1,630$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lynn Vision79c1,523$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.392,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed Lynn Vision50c1,407$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.297349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER22c1,137$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9252636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER53c1,000$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.174,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER51c999.99$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.333,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lynn Vision66c923.61$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.225,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Lynn Vision59c835.36$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.3740148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lynn Vision69c671.65$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.27,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER34c609.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.425142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER46c538.3$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER21c501.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3843544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER21c480$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER19c443.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.185950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER21c386.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0580740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER26c363.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.712538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Lynn Vision71c350.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.15347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c340.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2255843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c321.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.638739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER21c314.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.392,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Lynn Vision50c311$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.341,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9650846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Lynn Vision45c299.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9918549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER35c284.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER38c283.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.626,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Lynn Vision39c255.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4463541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Lynn Vision80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER18c249.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9922729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER22c225.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9923335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER61c219.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.260853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lynn Vision46c218.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0458149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c214.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.512,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Lynn Vision80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Lynn Vision68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6435861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Lynn Vision78c179.03$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.021,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lynn Vision60c174.29$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.394,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER22c174.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.33438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lynn Vision77c171.7$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.734,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER34c170$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.228645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c168.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.664355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Lynn Vision79c150.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.881,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER19c137.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1649941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…4500backed Lynn Vision40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER40c121.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e8…b9d2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER58c116.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lynn Vision51c106.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.434,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Lynn Vision59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Lynn Vision69c97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.072552%13 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2561034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd0…4303backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER34c64.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8510739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Lynn Vision39c62.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.123150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Lynn Vision80c59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.820055%110 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER21c56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.763759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa885…43e3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88f…3785backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1099148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked Lynn Vision40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011949.6%59 W · 60 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f1…1972backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858c…9b63backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER25c43.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lynn Vision53c43.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.351,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d6…9523backed Lynn Vision80c38.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.753154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…0408backed Lynn Vision51c38.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Lynn Vision80c36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.214055%77 W · 63 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lynn Vision78c33.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.231,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER58c31.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.425863.8%37 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5dd6…63d3backed Lynn Vision45c28.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Lynn Vision64c28.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1320457.8%118 W · 86 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216048.8%78 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Lynn Vision76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.326462.5%40 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d54…7825backed Lynn Vision79c25.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Lynn Vision80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57550.7%38 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lynn Vision68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b9…9d98backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER51c24.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Lynn Vision80c21.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3115351.6%79 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf964…e5c5backed Lynn Vision64c21.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked Lynn Vision80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.