Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d5af6cef1d34cdb806cbe2e194ff26d9b7d4cf9b60f6f22ab915db6ef828367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 44c | 16,975$7,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 10,703$6,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.45 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 57c | 5,858$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.22 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 59c | 5,426$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.94 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 58c | 3,742$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.67 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 62c | 3,684$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 3,472$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.3 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 39c | 1,860$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 40c | 1,633$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 42c | 1,517$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 1,241$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.17 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.98 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 42c | 1,177$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 43c | 1,153$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 58c | 979$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 720.7$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 71c | 705.63$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 58c | 675.54$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.73 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 57c | 603.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.51 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 595.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 481.05$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 41c | 456$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 455.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 436.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 39c | 410$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 391$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 377.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 41c | 349.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Under | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 56c | 312.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 41c | 302.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 268.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 247.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 191.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Over | 41c | 130.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 73c | 130.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 58c | 127.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 36c | 122$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 42c | 114.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 33c | 113.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 28c | 74.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 71.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 60c | 68.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 79c | 64.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 56c | 59.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…dffebacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…c10fbacked Under | 58c | 43.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +241.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 61c | 40.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 42c | 37.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 49c | 34.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…039dbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 38c | 29.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 62c | 28.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 56c | 28.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 57c | 28.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 41c | 25.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 63c | 25.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 60c | 24.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)FC Nantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.