TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c8,437$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.911,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c2,706$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.971,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over28c2,394$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.3622745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under45c2,239$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.461080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under36c2,088$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.3116644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over4c1,450$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over13c952.82$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over63c709.09$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.7321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over5c700.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.494833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0571…c3c3backed Over64c700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over64c700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4484161%25 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c517.87$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0833145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over62c505.76$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.573745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over29c499.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…42b0backed Under46c466.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under79c310.95$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.351478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under37c264.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1310145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7000…6d98backed Under38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over19c257.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c250$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.58247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c210.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7818351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under37c184$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.927648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under36c182.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7426354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under36c181.59$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7216448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c165.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8423342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2271…16a0backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c138.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5426041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Over28c128.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under35c128.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.312152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Over64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over63c114.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over29c105.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6914352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over61c104.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.115955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over65c101.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under37c97.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.848957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over56c88.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.932948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under36c79.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.617861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under36c77.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.855251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over64c77.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over56c73.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.232369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over64c68.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.863336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c66.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+117.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over64c56.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2612647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c56.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fb…e34ebacked Over64c54.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over65c53.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b7…e2b5backed Under52c52.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over63c46.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.312738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over41c40.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.883560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.544555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over65c40.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.074930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over56c35.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over64c34.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.375354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e8…ffcabacked Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over63c31.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.882240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b5c8backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under37c30.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…8fbfbacked Over64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over64c29.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over56c28.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over48c27.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.336446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f62…0412backed Over65c25.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98a…5da6backed Over63c25.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7c4…7795backed Over64c20.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over60c16.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under79c16.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.473764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101520%3 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under78c15.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.462777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.