TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c6,500$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4452528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c6,321$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.991,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under46c4,268$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.4522745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under45c1,987$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.621080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under15c1,819$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54621143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c1,428$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over53c1,410$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under63c1,169$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9424349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over48c1,100$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under74c791.4$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c788.07$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.7933145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under15c638.6$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.8616644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over53c638.22$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.693250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Over7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over2c553.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c482.26$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.011,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over42c438.6$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over57c406.05$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over71c384.51$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under67c369.35$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.855356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over55c351.25$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb70…e2dcbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over43c209.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under16c208.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over42c192.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over56c185$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.61855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c171.33$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3624052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c169.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6259348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8187…c10fbacked Under16c158.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+241.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under56c155.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Under12c152.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+309.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Over79c151.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.621275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under21c139.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.864833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.154131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c131.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5218351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.33759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over40c119.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over30c114.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.891936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over52c114.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.824351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Under79c102.46$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.522774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Under16c99.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.99728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over49c97.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under44c95.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.256132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Under67c89.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.431833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over57c84.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.966245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203716.2%6 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under17c81.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.826065%39 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x692f…6455backed Over60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19af…80f8backed Over37c78.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over61c75.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.682254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over48c67.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over35c64.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.942948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa03…2ebbbacked Under48c63.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.04540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under51c58.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.831369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over48c56.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.065955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over48c55.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6414352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.522340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over57c47.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1426046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over70c45.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.237869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdc…a9afbacked Under39c44.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over55c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.15440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under48c41.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under28c41.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.899050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over49c40.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.913444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Over31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ed6…8782backed Over44c37.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over56c37.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Over41c36.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.971850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-40.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x95a2…c5cdbacked Under45c36.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under29c35.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1318847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over56c34.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.122240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20fe…884cbacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8808…c743backed Under66c33.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over56c32.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Under53c25.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9293…b5fdbacked Over79c24.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over41c24.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under64c24.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.626936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc251…a5d3backed Over53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b48…85d2backed Over54c22.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over62c21.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.373560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fb…67b9backed Over67c21.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113644.4%16 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.