NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6305a35140b9aab0d25d30d49c4a85e61a7134f3551a09296afbe547f12ec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Under | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 30c | 2,100$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 52c | 1,579$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.97 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 993.26$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.38 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 61c | 689.18$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…0620backed Over | 27c | 655.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 72c | 395.2$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.54 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 52c | 342.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 64c | 296.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.84 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…50dbbacked Under | 17c | 295.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 27c | 265.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 72c | 258.46$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 28c | 237.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 14c | 232$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Over | 64c | 219.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…a49cbacked Over | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 198.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 73c | 159.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Under | 15c | 147.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Over | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 27c | 117.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 37c | 112$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 41c | 109.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 32c | 101.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…3ee8backed Under | 46c | 101$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Under | 63c | 100.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…eb55backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 69c | 89.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 43c | 76.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 25c | 72.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 25c | 60.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…850abacked Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 52c | 53.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 43c | 49.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 38.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 48c | 27.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 52c | 22.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Under | 72c | 21.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…7f34backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 73c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 16.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 73c | 15.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.