NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217e90637ec24f60e71cc8065f88641e279cb623d7f3d495459645426842c79e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 40c | 9,427$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 60c | 2,597$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.07 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Over | 60c | 2,151$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 1,945$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.88 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Under | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 40c | 581.31$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.52 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 42c | 466.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 18c | 361.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 40c | 359.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 59c | 299.77$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Over | 60c | 283.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 59c | 262.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 60c | 256.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 60c | 255$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 76c | 219$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…a49cbacked Over | 61c | 215.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 64c | 203.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Over | 61c | 201.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 41c | 196.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Over | 59c | 187.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…08f9backed Under | 41c | 169.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…cf58backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 38c | 119.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 35c | 109.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9817backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Over | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Over | 61c | 79.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…8963backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 53.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 73c | 52.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 39c | 49.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 60c | 49.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 38c | 41.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 25c | 41.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d4a3backed Over | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…d3ecbacked Over | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.