NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce37f1b4a29f344ebc93b9a4036afabbff8f495563232767490b7f41e3a573e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Canadiens | 40c | 25,535$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 38c | 24,295$9,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,232.19 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Sabres | 62c | 16,719$10,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,353.35 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Sabres | 60c | 14,087$8,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.94 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Sabres | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Sabres | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.97 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Sabres | 58c | 5,300$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 39c | 5,088$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.21 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Canadiens | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Sabres | 63c | 4,007$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 62c | 4,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.96 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sabres | 54c | 3,961$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.02 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Sabres | 62c | 2,206$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.81 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sabres | 61c | 2,183$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sabres | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Sabres | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,870$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.69 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Canadiens | 39c | 1,489$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.62 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…fe78backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,358$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Sabres | 62c | 1,005$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sabres | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sabres | 71c | 886.8$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.93 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Sabres | 61c | 865.57$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sabres | 61c | 833.34$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…ea71backed Canadiens | 14c | 774.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Canadiens | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens | 39c | 660.31$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Sabres | 61c | 640$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.6 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Canadiens | 8c | 596.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Canadiens | 40c | 545.33$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Canadiens | 39c | 475.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sabres | 57c | 450.16$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Canadiens | 39c | 403$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Canadiens | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Canadiens | 38c | 400$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Canadiens | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Canadiens | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…0620backed Canadiens | 39c | 381.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Canadiens | 40c | 348.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sabres | 61c | 347.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 47c | 334.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Canadiens | 39c | 276.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sabres | 63c | 274.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Sabres | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Canadiens | 38c | 269.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Canadiens | 38c | 264.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sabres | 69c | 264.38$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…b68ebacked Sabres | 63c | 262.84$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sabres | 63c | 256.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed Sabres | 62c | 245.16$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sabres | 62c | 245$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5310…cef0backed Canadiens | 38c | 242.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…f868backed Canadiens | 42c | 238.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Canadiens | 39c | 226.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sabres | 70c | 213$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…4930backed Canadiens | 39c | 209.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…850abacked Canadiens | 15c | 198.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 62c | 192.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Canadiens | 39c | 189.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Sabres | 62c | 188.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Canadiens | 39c | 188.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Canadiens | 39c | 187.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 16c | 182.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Sabres | 55c | 176.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Sabres | 33c | 174.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Canadiens | 40c | 166.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Canadiens | 39c | 150.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Canadiens | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Canadiens | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 55c | 142.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Sabres | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Sabres | 51c | 128.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Canadiens | 39c | 127.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sabres | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…8c59backed Canadiens | 67c | 126.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Canadiens | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sabres | 54c | 122.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Canadiens | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Canadiens | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…8a0cbacked Canadiens | 40c | 117.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…ec1bbacked Canadiens | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Canadiens | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sabres | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sabres | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Sabres | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…958dbacked Sabres | 61c | 91.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Canadiens | 38c | 91.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8a…093bbacked Canadiens | 33c | 90.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Sabres | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Sabres | 61c | 88.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Sabres | 65c | 85.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Sabres | 43c | 84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed Sabres | 48c | 83.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa753…49acbacked Canadiens | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Sabres | 49c | 81.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Sabres | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Sabres | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensSabres won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.