Mls · resolved market
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd552ac4d06d7a39f3857a8e218369c04dcdda06d29a3c02a8e4d8872ece8ed4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Timbersof Portland Timbers, Sporting Kansas City
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Portland Timbers | 45c | 154,575$69,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,015.98 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 29,054$16,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,105.88 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 25,308$13,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,919.82 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 21,787$11,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,982.58 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Portland Timbers | 42c | 18,024$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,463.86 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 16,568$9,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,112.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Sporting Kansas City | 58c | 11,395$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 7,347$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.97 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 6,475$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 5,509$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 5,041$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.44 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 4,764$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.09 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 4,371$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 3,656$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 3,018$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.74 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sporting Kansas City | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Sporting Kansas City | 58c | 2,459$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 2,043$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 2,002$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.15 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 1,899$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.45 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 1,733$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.41 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…8508backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 1,253$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 1,116$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Sporting Kansas City | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 887.27$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 838.01$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 573$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 374$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 363.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Sporting Kansas City | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 339.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland Timbers | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sporting Kansas City | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Sporting Kansas City | 57c | 272.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Portland Timbers | 58c | 257.24$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Portland Timbers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sporting Kansas City | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 227$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 227$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 226.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sporting Kansas City | 46c | 213$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Portland Timbers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sporting Kansas City | 50c | 206.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sporting Kansas City | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 169.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 138.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Portland Timbers | 66c | 136.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Sporting Kansas City | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Sporting Kansas City | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Sporting Kansas City | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Sporting Kansas City | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Sporting Kansas City | 58c | 99.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 93.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting Kansas City | 58c | 84.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Sporting Kansas City | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Sporting Kansas City | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Timbers | 75c | 67.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 63.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sporting Kansas City | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 58.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Sporting Kansas City | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 50.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Portland Timbers | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Sporting Kansas City | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 45.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 45.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 44.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Sporting Kansas City | 53c | 42.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sporting Kansas City | 51c | 32.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Sporting Kansas City | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sporting Kansas City | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 29.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Sporting Kansas City | 58c | 29.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…9384backed Sporting Kansas City | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)this page
- Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.