NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe27c699f725c85b5d06c5a839cadad131354a91e2581d6522e390b1332b5d7

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,352 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under	1c	9,973$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.73	138	41.3%57 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	52c	4,306$2,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,224.68	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over	31c	2,600$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,782.05	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	38c	1,321$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.96	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under	74c	522.51$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.94	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.4wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under	74c	460.71$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.18	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-4.1wins	-0.21per pick	63cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over	35c	422.15$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.05	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	57c	285.25$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.64	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over	31c	247.14$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.37	295	33.6%99 W · 196 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	49c	242.5$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.66	823	53.1%437 W · 386 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over	27c	234.21$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.83	118	33.1%39 W · 79 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	58c	232.92$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.2	410	50.7%208 W · 202 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	36c	209.18$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.74	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Over	47c	206$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.18	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	44c	180.89$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.05	498	51%254 W · 244 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	78c	169.91$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.38	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-9.4wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf636…b1ccbacked Under	28c	168.71$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.85	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	76c	159.66$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	893	55.5%496 W · 397 L	+67.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	30c	143.7$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.59	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+195.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	78c	128.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.23	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	31c	123.69$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.35	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under	12c	123.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	30c	116.73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	345	47.8%165 W · 180 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	70c	110.12$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.58	355	51%181 W · 174 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Over	42c	108.94$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.91	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	74c	101.37$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.55	1,384	47.1%652 W · 732 L	+25.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	432	50.9%220 W · 212 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	72c	90.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.26	618	48.1%297 W · 321 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under	66c	90.15$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over	53c	88.32$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under	23c	75.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-5.7wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-41%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under	21c	74.85$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	100	33%33 W · 67 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	48c	63.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	283	40.3%114 W · 169 L	-24.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over	35c	60.5$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked Under	23c	60.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under	56c	57.34$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.85	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+9.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Under	76c	49.28$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.45	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	50c	48.73$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.31	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over	42c	47.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.61	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3468…e71ebacked Under	31c	46.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.11	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under	55c	44.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.68	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over	51c	39.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e4…fe36backed Over	68c	39.82$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.55	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	57c	37.88$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	384	47.4%182 W · 202 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Over	47c	32.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.17	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Over	62c	31.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.98	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	78c	31.14$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.85	84	69%58 W · 26 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	72c	28.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	145	49%71 W · 74 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	47c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	920	49.7%457 W · 463 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Over	78c	24.14$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.31	178	53.9%96 W · 82 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f52…ce1bbacked Under	71c	20.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbd92…b400backed Over	76c	19.89$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over	78c	16.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.65	174	56.3%98 W · 76 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over	78c	16.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.65	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed Over	78c	15.78$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.47	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.22per pick	66cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event