NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4de6b6e4cc018e8d45727828bf0d9c755fe38c1d13b913b68673e85d82b4770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Sabres, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sabres | 50c | 3,605$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.53 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bruins | 63c | 2,636$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.49 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Bruins | 65c | 1,642$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.63 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Sabres | 38c | 1,564$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.4 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…09e2backed Bruins | 48c | 1,500$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 62c | 1,103$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.12 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sabres | 52c | 1,101$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.06 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Bruins | 64c | 1,064$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sabres | 36c | 1,010$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.48 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Bruins | 42c | 821.21$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.3 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bruins | 63c | 795.66$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 77c | 682.07$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Bruins | 59c | 653.42$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Sabres | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f0…4e2cbacked Sabres | 38c | 408.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Bruins | 63c | 357.87$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bruins | 54c | 352.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Sabres | 15c | 341.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Sabres | 38c | 220.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sabres | 38c | 207.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 41c | 180.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Sabres | 38c | 173.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Bruins | 10c | 163.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +325.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Sabres | 50c | 136.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Sabres | 31c | 127.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sabres | 28c | 127.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bruins | 65c | 121.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Sabres | 38c | 121.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Bruins | 63c | 114$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sabres | 29c | 113.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Bruins | 44c | 112.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Bruins | 69c | 110.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 22c | 103.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bruins | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Bruins | 63c | 99.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Bruins | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sabres | 24c | 89.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Bruins | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…573fbacked Sabres | 18c | 63.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Sabres | 23c | 59.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Bruins | 63c | 54.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Sabres | 52c | 52.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bruins | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Bruins | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Sabres | 39c | 33.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Sabres | 54c | 29.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Bruins | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…915fbacked Bruins | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. SabresSabres won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.