Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0f6cabfc89e4bcd25e579b9a1f626b14c9096d8766c2dffbc8e8defe5c74af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 70c | 10,215$7,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.5 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 30c | 2,930$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.37 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 2,546$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 1,580$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.06 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 69c | 1,526$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.09 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 1,277$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.21 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 965$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 894.34$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 30c | 889.73$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 738.73$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 30c | 631$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 69c | 596.85$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 31c | 454.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 440$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 70c | 385.71$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 69c | 359.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 339.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…4194backed No | 70c | 162.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 157.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…e25cbacked Yes | 13c | 152.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 135.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 30c | 121.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 27c | 95.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 93.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 69c | 78.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 69c | 72.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 17c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 57.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 32c | 56.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 50.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 44.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 77c | 13.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 13.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 13.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-11?No won
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.