Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef657c32155edd8f7699fb07b7e3c957c2b9b6370f65ce201954db616f6d4033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 30c | 6,127$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.22 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 3,711$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 3,200$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 70c | 2,400$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 29c | 1,747$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 29c | 1,689$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.62 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 1,515$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.18 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,501$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 68c | 1,065$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 979.78$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 945.52$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 799.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 672$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 70c | 520$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 70c | 519.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 336.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Yes | 30c | 318.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 312$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 70c | 312$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 14c | 299$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 261.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 249.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 218.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 180.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 71c | 164.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 69c | 157.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 151$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 133.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 30c | 111.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 70c | 94.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes | 28c | 93.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 92.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 89.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 68.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 29c | 61.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 69c | 49.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 30c | 47.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 35.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 31c | 34.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked No | 72c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed No | 69c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 71c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 72c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.