South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c0b202c5262fcb128f585816a9a0568da43ca781669ce4ee11c5a8eb78a9d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,922$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.63 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 47c | 1,026$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 63c | 999.73$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 853.23$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 599.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 40c | 599.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 69c | 361.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 57c | 345.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 328.6$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 59c | 295.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 57c | 202.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked Under | 59c | 201.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 182.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 105.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 59c | 101.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 43c | 100.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 37c | 72.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 72.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 63.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 62c | 55.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 40c | 49.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 59c | 46.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 42.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 38.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 37.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 40c | 26.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 46c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…0840backed Over | 64c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)Millonarios FC won
- Spread: Millonarios FC (-2.5)CA Boston River won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.