South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3097c806cb91276a246f255a9570b1549c145d3563da42a3c157f14fba54c79c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Millonarios FCof CA Boston River, Millonarios FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Boston River | 6c | 14,953$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.22 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2e…0e8ebacked CA Boston River | 6c | 1,318$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…181cbacked CA Boston River | 6c | 1,263$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…f256backed CA Boston River | 6c | 1,253$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94c…d995backed CA Boston River | 6c | 1,245$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3d…5b7bbacked CA Boston River | 6c | 1,001$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…d282backed CA Boston River | 6c | 960$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…a264backed CA Boston River | 6c | 942$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…b4d4backed CA Boston River | 6c | 940$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…bfcfbacked CA Boston River | 6c | 938$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b27…f45cbacked CA Boston River | 6c | 935$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…ba21backed CA Boston River | 6c | 930$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…0948backed CA Boston River | 6c | 928$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…78eebacked CA Boston River | 6c | 927$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…f821backed CA Boston River | 6c | 923$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked CA Boston River | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed CA Boston River | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Millonarios FC | 65c | 29.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)this page
- CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Millonarios FC (-2.5)CA Boston River won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.