TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes35c50,119$17,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,587.7329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c20,036$13,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,025.953,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c7,900$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,135.5165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c4,872$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.635,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No28c4,218$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.9128651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c3,550$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.678,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c3,072$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.951,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c2,915$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.681,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes35c2,098$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.8116647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes67c1,945$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.979349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c1,771$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.861,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes72c1,553$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.0699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.913658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c1,227$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.051,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No35c1,053$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7119952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No21c970.62$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c905$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.251,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No63c889$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.6722853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes72c745.59$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3710667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes69c724.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6419963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No66c696.95$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.611,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No27c660.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2521132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes75c650.43$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0513373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No65c488.05$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.811,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No65c468.73$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1410467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No65c461.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9927549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No65c461.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes35c406.24$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.061546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No22c397.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No39c334.92$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.996124.6%15 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c320.54$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.251,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No39c305.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.71,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No65c262.87$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8711763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c256.33$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.052,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes66c236.61$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7818160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No65c230.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0312948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes64c204.12$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7348547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.953759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No65c162$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.330754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes33c160$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.27748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…c638backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No65c153.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2910652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No33c153.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes33c152.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1411140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.517255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3da…46d2backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No66c134.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No29c134.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes70c125$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes74c124.54$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6820055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Yes63c118.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.113345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No26c105.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7341145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No65c101.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.064969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No65c98.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.773148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x400c…0644backed Yes36c91.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.674100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No54c91.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.333234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x05c6…3a8fbacked Yes36c87.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No65c84.26$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7744959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.335322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.335056%28 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No66c81.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6263657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed No65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…dd71backed No64c73.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c71.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.341,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.429652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.445944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No42c64.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0313248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes64c64.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+162.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No29c59.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.151,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed No32c59.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.072045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.566346%29 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No38c52.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3225625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2518359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes62c48.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.355141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No58c45.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8220138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed No54c45.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.654348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Yes73c45.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Yes33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes69c45.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes74c44.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.593100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes49c41.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes73c39.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3630backed No44c39.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes79c37.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Yes36c34.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2210946.8%51 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No65c33.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9912755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x550c…55fdbacked No65c33.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.561060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…4a78backed Yes61c33.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes34c32.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3516266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.758540%34 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1caa…1d87backed Yes64c31.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed No65c30.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.071566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes65c30.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.