South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d67cfe375f731f040901f296e2a254419164fec2f2cf85b5a4e4f2168e0763d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 4,287$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 36c | 3,704$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,700$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 1,642$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.15 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,531$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.16 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 761.24$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 666$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 29c | 617$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.87 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 508.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…fe2dbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 398.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 39c | 341$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 27c | 310.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Yes | 20c | 300.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 18c | 299.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 17c | 241.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 224.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 24c | 221.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 79c | 202.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes | 37c | 201.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 195.72$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 79c | 187.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 29c | 186.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 142.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 122.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 20c | 106.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 35c | 103.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 88.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…958abacked Yes | 16c | 77.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 77c | 72.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 68c | 71.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Yes | 19c | 68.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 64.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked No | 71c | 63.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 21c | 63.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 24c | 62.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 35c | 57.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 28c | 56.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7378…8a24backed Yes | 19c | 55.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 44c | 48.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 47.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 36c | 45.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 23c | 45.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 25c | 44.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 31c | 44.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 78c | 36.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 63c | 31.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 68c | 29.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 79c | 25.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 71c | 22.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692a…e65fbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.