South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb635a69a5d948edf1def1d6477575963760ee80a73fba33dab77074ceafee96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Yes | 56c | 7,167$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 6,490$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 20c | 2,461$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.1 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,959$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,299$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 44c | 1,199$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.49 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 1,165$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.39 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 56c | 989.2$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.85 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 976.07$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 827.69$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 9c | 789.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 770$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 80c | 730.04$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 21c | 725$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 721.01$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 663.68$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.76 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 55c | 654.55$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 650.4$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.48 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 603.07$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 13c | 599.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 56c | 571.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 19c | 569.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 57c | 552.63$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 509.98$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes | 5c | 501.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…fe2dbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 53c | 391.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 54c | 370.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 366.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 47c | 333.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 295.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 44c | 292$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 280.25$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 60c | 278.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 55c | 264.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 255.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 60c | 249.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 47c | 238.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 222$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 219.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 209.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Yes | 19c | 176.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 25c | 162.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 35c | 157.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 24c | 149.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 18c | 132.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…e2abbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 33c | 102.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 80c | 100.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 61c | 77.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…bfe7backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 20c | 73.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 50c | 72.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 70.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 46c | 65.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 65c | 64.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 60.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 59.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 59.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 44c | 57.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 63c | 55.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 43c | 50.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 50c | 45.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 38.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 44c | 33.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 52c | 32.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 29.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Yes | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 52c | 27.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 57c | 26.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 62c | 25.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked No | 45c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked No | 80c | 22.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 54c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 76c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.