TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,936 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0145…35d0backed Over67c2,239$1,500 inWon+$738.813076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c2,016$20 inLost-$20.16927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under33c1,912$630 inLost-$629.972,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c749.5$244 inLost-$243.628,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over68c709.82$483 inWon+$227.141838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c545.5$175 inLost-$174.562,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over69c495$340 inWon+$155.4310651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over67c400$268 inWon+$13220846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under33c244.42$81 inLost-$80.6651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under31c233$72 inLost-$72.2345253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under28c81$23 inLost-$22.6553836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over69c78$54 inWon+$24.1851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under33c60$20 inLost-$19.84542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c25$15 inWon+$9.955,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over64c24$15 inWon+$8.642969%20 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+112.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6209…6767backed Over67c15$10 inWon+$4.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.