South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc028c14b0ced01da4260273a452ed27d2253558c5ca98ef1ee1db4285fdba0fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 5c | 1,049$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 499.17$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.57 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked No | 4c | 490.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 79c | 368.58$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 56c | 324.49$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.71 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…d262backed Yes | 48c | 262.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 44c | 228.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…6710backed Yes | 48c | 224.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 198.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 167.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 130.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 48c | 128$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 104.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 49c | 102.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 25.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 22.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 0.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 5.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: São Paulo FC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.