Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Sera Nishimoto vs Meiqi Guo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb707c376485476209e3e4b3d20d5cbf748f64a4131e3345a933429eb689c5de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Meiqi Guoof Sera Nishimoto, Meiqi Guo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Sera Nishimoto | 46c | 6,363$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sera Nishimoto | 43c | 3,005$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.87 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sera Nishimoto | 22c | 1,833$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.38 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Meiqi Guo | 50c | 731.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Meiqi Guo | 50c | 731.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Meiqi Guo | 50c | 731.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 105 | 63.8%67 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Meiqi Guo | 50c | 731.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Meiqi Guo | 78c | 674.77$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Sera Nishimoto | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 21.5%80 W · 292 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Meiqi Guo | 68c | 531.76$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Meiqi Guo | 50c | 398.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Sera Nishimoto | 44c | 302.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sera Nishimoto | 44c | 271.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Sera Nishimoto | 44c | 212.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sera Nishimoto | 26c | 140.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Sera Nishimoto | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…2f82backed Sera Nishimoto | 55c | 127.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Meiqi Guo | 53c | 112.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Meiqi Guo | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Meiqi Guo | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Sera Nishimoto | 44c | 98.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Meiqi Guo | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Meiqi Guo | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sera Nishimoto | 18c | 76.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Meiqi Guo | 63c | 72.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sera Nishimoto | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Sera Nishimoto | 51c | 68.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Sera Nishimoto | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Meiqi Guo | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Meiqi Guo | 49c | 59.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Sera Nishimoto | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Sera Nishimoto | 44c | 47.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed Meiqi Guo | 76c | 46.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Sera Nishimoto | 41c | 41.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Meiqi Guo | 54c | 40.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Meiqi Guo | 78c | 34.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…c397backed Sera Nishimoto | 47c | 33.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Meiqi Guo | 59c | 32.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Meiqi Guo | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Meiqi Guo | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Meiqi Guo | 59c | 21.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Meiqi Guo | 59c | 20.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Meiqi Guo | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8c…1ea7backed Meiqi Guo | 79c | 16.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Meiqi Guo | 76c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Meiqi Guo | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.