TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes31c108,888$33,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,409.476841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c97,845$68,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,159.985,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes30c75,779$22,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,419.98825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c17,087$11,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,910.991,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c13,066$9,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,244.061,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No69c7,679$5,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,294.2930731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No69c7,500$5,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,17513956.1%78 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c6,195$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,331.771,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No70c5,691$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00013746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Yes31c4,820$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Yes33c3,878$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.973253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+65.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes32c3,792$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.712642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd645…7ebdbacked Yes28c3,350$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No70c2,938$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.6511145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c2,936$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.3138849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No70c2,899$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.026051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No69c2,898$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.872958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes27c2,851$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.0522949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed No69c2,728$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.511030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No19c2,710$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.123630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No61c2,660$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.2672342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e9…03bbbacked Yes53c2,510$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c2,402$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.811,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No53c2,099$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.9418851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c2,079$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.0940750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No21c2,052$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.9124247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde90…d417backed No73c1,967$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No51c1,933$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.1525653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes29c1,615$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.294854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No70c1,535$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.52075%15 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No52c1,527$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.3630548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No70c1,377$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.1319354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0626…4426backed No45c1,314$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No69c1,295$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8941,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed No78c1,285$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No50c1,276$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.3113654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No53c1,239$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.371,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No70c1,149$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.044463.6%28 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No70c1,058$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7415369.8%37 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No70c1,050$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.52171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No33c864.59$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4272944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes51c805$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.2321574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No45c789.49$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0120165.7%132 W · 69 L+28.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c724$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7493446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c724$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.741,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c723.52$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.891,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c712$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.031,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes42c710.67$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.2812362.6%77 W · 46 L+17.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked No69c709$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No42c679$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9136142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes62c628.53$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.694763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No14c605$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6821953.9%118 W · 101 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No70c549.85$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.898859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No69c507$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8316454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No55c503$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0520769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No69c499.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9954746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No26c494.64$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8314646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No65c463.64$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0421643.5%94 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes78c454$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.847866.7%52 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No15c448.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.122360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No52c435.92$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3715240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes31c407.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.494443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No70c359.71$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4632060%192 W · 128 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No52c353.4$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6159342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes29c343.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.632572%18 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes28c314.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.295318.9%10 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No70c295.3$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.047957%45 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No46c268.34$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2212152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes74c265.9$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.829350.9%149 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes34c249.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.088644.2%38 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c242.28$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.772,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No70c239.01$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3335751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No16c238.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.523842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No48c237$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.765669.6%39 W · 17 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c234.53$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.841,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No50c222.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.393956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No69c211.05$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.621931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c209$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.219947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13842451.2%217 W · 207 L+2.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes65c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.439855.8%222 W · 176 L+31.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd8…a3a5backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Yes55c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.523435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+141.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes30c193.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3314047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No69c186$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3454354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No70c185.19$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5116659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes40c177.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.657861.5%48 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No70c173.43$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.241770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes58c162$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.219254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No27c159.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.593231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No69c149.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.937153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes49c140.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6539649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No65c140$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0545052.2%235 W · 215 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03aa…0312backed Yes71c135$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed No70c133.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No9c132.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.964040%16 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No56c120.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.981850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.